Land Drop
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Hypergeometric calculator

Chance to have the cards you need by a given turn: one or more groups of cards, each with a minimum or a range of copies, all together or at least one. Count the copies yourself or from a deck. How it works

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Counting from Tayam, Luminous Enigma · Josh H [Bonfire] · CEDH Monthly: 100 cards in the main deck.

Starting
More options: extra draws, mulligans, players
Conditions to meet
Condition 1
More conditions
Condition 2
Condition 3
Condition 4
Compare with

In place of cards of no condition: the deck keeps its size.

The 100 cards of the deck (100 different): conditions and effects
Which condition each card of the main deck counts for: the copies of a condition become the sum of its cards.
CardCopiesConditionIn the simulation
Ancient Tomb 1 —
Arid Mesa 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a mountain / plains card
Bayou 1 —
Bloodstained Mire 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a swamp / mountain card
Boseiju, Who Endures 1 —
Cavern of Souls 1 —
Centaur Garden 1 —
City of Brass 1 —
Command Tower 1 —
Dryad Arbor 1 —
Forest 1 —
Gaea's Cradle 1 —
Gavony Township 1 —
Gemstone Caverns 1 —
Hashep Oasis 1 —
Mana Confluence 1 —
Marsh Flats 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a plains / swamp card
Misty Rainforest 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a forest / island card
Overgrown Tomb 1 —
Phyrexian Tower 1 —
Plains 1 —
Savannah 1 —
Scrubland 1 —
Shifting Woodland 1 —
Talon Gates of Madara 1 —
Temple Garden 1 —
Verdant Catacombs 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a swamp / forest card
Windswept Heath 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a forest / plains card
Wooded Foothills 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a mountain / forest card
Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth 1 —
Abigale, Eloquent First-Year 1 —
Archon of Emeria 1 —
Ashnod's Altar 1 sacrifice: adds 2 mana
Avacyn's Pilgrim 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Badgermole Cub 1 —
Bartolomé del Presidio 1 —
Basking Broodscale 1 —
Birds of Paradise 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Bloom Tender 1 —
Carrion Feeder 1 —
Chord of Calling 1 search for a creature card
Circle of Dreams Druid 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Crop Rotation 1 search for a land card
Cryptolith Rite 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Deafening Silence 1 —
Deathrite Shaman 1 —
Delighted Halfling 1 tap: adds 1 mana; tap: adds 1 mana
Devoted Druid 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Drannith Magistrate 1 —
Earthcraft 1 —
Elves of Deep Shadow 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Elvish Mystic 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Enduring Vitality 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Enlightened Tutor 1 search for a artifact / enchantment card
Esper Sentinel 1 —
Faeburrow Elder 1 —
Felothar, Dawn of the Abzan 1 —
Finale of Devastation 1 —
Formidable Speaker 1 when it enters: search for a creature card
Fyndhorn Elves 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Green Sun's Zenith 1 search for a green creature card
Hammerhead, Maggia Boss 1 —
Haywire Mite 1 —
Icatian Moneychanger 1 —
Incubation Druid 1 —
Insidious Roots 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Knight of the Reliquary 1 tap, sacrifice: search for a land card
Lion's Eye Diamond 1 —
Llanowar Elves 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Long Feng, Grand Secretariat 1 —
Loot, the Nexus 1 —
Mana Vault 1 tap: adds 3 mana
Marvin, Murderous Mimic 1 —
Moonshadow 1 —
Mox Diamond 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Nature's Rhythm 1 search for a creature card
Opposition Agent 1 —
Orcish Bowmasters 1 —
Patrol Signaler 1 —
Patrolling Peacemaker 1 —
Ranger-Captain of Eos 1 when it enters: search for a creature card
Rishkar, Peema Renegade 1 tap: adds 1 mana
Rosie Cotton of South Lane 1 —
Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu 1 —
Sol Ring 1 tap: adds 2 mana
Spirit of the Labyrinth 1 —
Strangleroot Geist 1 —
Survival of the Fittest 1 1 mana: search for a creature card
Sylvan Safekeeper 1 —
Tayam, Luminous Enigma 1 —
The Queen of Dale 1 —
Tyvar, Jubilant Brawler 1 —
Vampiric Tutor 1 —
Village Bell-Ringer 1 —
Wall of Roots 1 —
Warden of the Grove 1 —
Weathered Wayfarer 1 1 mana, tap: search for a land card
White Plume Adventurer 1 —
Worldly Tutor 1 search for a creature card
Young Wolf 1 —

Result

Write how many copies of the cards you want are in the deck.

Mana sources

Lands and other sources of one color you need in 100 cards to cast a spell on curve: C is one symbol of that color in the cost, CC two, CCC three.

Sources for a 90% chance by that turn, on the play
CostTurn 1Turn 2Turn 3Turn 4Turn 5Turn 6
C252220181716
CC—3633302826
CCC——44413835

A land every turn

Chance to play a land on each turn up to that one: at least one land by turn 1, two by turn 2, and so on.

30 lands in the 100 cards of the deck.

Tayam, Luminous Enigma decks play 30.6 lands on average, all Commander decks 27.3 (last 90 days).

A land drop on every turn up to that one
Up to turnOn the playOn the drawToo fewToo many
194.9%94.9%5.1%5.0%
281.7%81.7%18.3%2.0%
362.7%62.7%37.3%0.7%
443.0%43.0%57.0%0.3%
526.6%26.6%48.8%0.1%
615.0%15.0%41.0%0.0%
77.7%7.7%34.0%0.0%
83.7%3.7%27.8%0.0%
91.6%1.6%22.4%0.0%
100.7%0.7%17.8%0.0%

Casting on curve

For each spell of the deck: chance to have, on the turn equal to its mana value, that many lands and enough lands of its colors. Hybrid and Phyrexian symbols don’t count; other mana sources (creatures, artifacts) neither.

From the riskiest spell
CardCostTurnOn the playOn the draw
Ranger-Captain of Eos334.1%34.1%
Chord of Calling335.1%35.1%
Circle of Dreams Druid335.1%35.1%
Tayam, Luminous Enigma438.0%38.0%
Felothar, Dawn of the Abzan350.1%50.1%
Faeburrow Elder355.1%55.1%
Knight of the Reliquary355.1%55.1%
Tyvar, Jubilant Brawler355.1%55.1%
Enduring Vitality355.3%55.3%
Archon of Emeria355.7%55.7%
Opposition Agent355.7%55.7%
Patrolling Peacemaker355.7%55.7%
Rosie Cotton of South Lane355.7%55.7%
Village Bell-Ringer355.7%55.7%
White Plume Adventurer355.7%55.7%
Bartolomé del Presidio257.5%57.5%
Finale of Devastation260.4%60.4%
Nature's Rhythm260.4%60.4%
Strangleroot Geist260.4%60.4%
Formidable Speaker362.0%62.0%
Loot, the Nexus362.0%62.0%
Rishkar, Peema Renegade362.0%62.0%
Warden of the Grove362.0%62.0%
Ashnod's Altar362.7%62.7%
Long Feng, Grand Secretariat362.7%62.7%
Insidious Roots264.4%64.4%
Drannith Magistrate266.6%66.6%
Hammerhead, Maggia Boss266.6%66.6%
Orcish Bowmasters266.6%66.6%
Patrol Signaler266.6%66.6%
Spirit of the Labyrinth266.6%66.6%
The Queen of Dale266.6%66.6%
Carrion Feeder168.6%68.6%
Deafening Silence168.6%68.6%
Enlightened Tutor168.6%68.6%
Esper Sentinel168.6%68.6%
Icatian Moneychanger168.6%68.6%
Moonshadow168.6%68.6%
Vampiric Tutor168.6%68.6%
Weathered Wayfarer168.6%68.6%
Badgermole Cub278.8%78.8%
Basking Broodscale278.8%78.8%
Bloom Tender278.8%78.8%
Cryptolith Rite278.8%78.8%
Devoted Druid278.8%78.8%
Earthcraft278.8%78.8%
Incubation Druid278.8%78.8%
Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu278.8%78.8%
Survival of the Fittest278.8%78.8%
Wall of Roots278.8%78.8%
Abigale, Eloquent First-Year281.7%81.7%
Marvin, Murderous Mimic281.7%81.7%
Avacyn's Pilgrim186.0%86.0%
Birds of Paradise186.0%86.0%
Crop Rotation186.0%86.0%
Delighted Halfling186.0%86.0%
Elves of Deep Shadow186.0%86.0%
Elvish Mystic186.0%86.0%
Fyndhorn Elves186.0%86.0%
Green Sun's Zenith186.0%86.0%
Llanowar Elves186.0%86.0%
Sylvan Safekeeper186.0%86.0%
Worldly Tutor186.0%86.0%
Young Wolf186.0%86.0%
Deathrite Shaman194.9%94.9%
Haywire Mite194.9%94.9%
Mana Vault194.9%94.9%
Sol Ring194.9%94.9%